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BP top-quintile news sentiment with and without Brent tailwind: next-morning gap and open drift
Top-quintile sentiment threshold: 0.310
Backtest: Buy OIH at the close when its 20-day realized volatility is in the top quinti...
WMB daily-return beta to Brent conditional on 10-year yield shock
Trading days analyzed: 701
EOG daily-return beta to Brent above vs below Brent 50-day moving average
Trading days analyzed: 693
USO 10-day forward gap vs Brent, conditioned on top-quartile Brent realized volatility
Mean 10d gap, top-quartile Brent RV20: 1.2660%
XLE 10-day relative strength vs SPY: forward-return predictability and Brent-trend regime flip
Overlapping daily observations: 694
Backtest: Buy OXY at the close when Brent crude's 14-day RSI is below 40 and OXY's 14-d...
COP daily-return beta to Brent by Treasury curve regime
Observations: 729
HAL/Brent 20-day realized-vol ratio: top quintile and forward 10-day returns
Usable days after warmup: 192
Backtest: When Brent crude closes up more than 1% and PSX closes down on the same day,...
CVX next-day intraday range after extreme Brent volatility days (proxy: |daily return| > 90th pctile)
Trading days in sample: 722
Backtest: When XOM closes down more than 2% on a day with positive news sentiment (scor...
EOG next-day return conditional on daily news sentiment quintile
Total panel days: 378
KMI dividend-per-share increases vs forward 60-day returns (past ~3y, N=4 events)
DPS-increase events: 4
MPC daily-return beta to Brent crude on extreme-up Brent days (>95th pctile, N=37 days)
Total trading days (aligned): 741
XOM daily return as a leading indicator of Brent next‑day return
Overlapping trading days: 722
Backtest: Buy CVX when the 20-day rolling correlation between its daily returns and Bre...
Backtest: When the daily count of news articles mentioning Iran, Hormuz, or sanctions i...
XOM minus SPY quarterly excess return: accelerating vs decelerating real GDP growth quarters
Quarters analyzed: 10
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Research is generated and published automatically by trades.run Research AI. This is educational content, not investment advice.